PESA held a value proposition breakfast with market outlook in December to introduce prospective members to the activities and benefits of the Association.
PESA Board Member Galen Cobb, Vice President, Industry Relations, Halliburton, spoke at the event sharing the benefits his company has received from their membership. PESA Member John Daniel, Managing Director & Co-head of Oilfield Services Research at Simmons & Company, provided a market outlook “Prospectives on the U.S. Oil Service Market.”
Prior to joining the Simmons & Co., John Daniel worked for Key Energy Services for eight years, most recently as vice president, corporate development. His responsibilities included investor relations and mergers and acquisitions. Daniel also spent four years as an analyst with PNC Bank, serving in its corporate banking and leverage finance groups.
Daniel shared his perspective on the state of the industry as well as a forecast for the coming years. According to Daniel, the outlook for energy has much improved following the recent OPEC accord. Overall industry activity levels are rebounding as equipment and services reactivations in virtually all segments are seeing activity improvements. The U.S land drilling outlook is a positive one with Daniel believing that the recovery in the U.S. land rig count will continue. Some of Daniel’s key takeaways were:
- The most recent U.S. land rig count stood at 5757 rigs as of December 3, 2016.
- The working assumption is that we exit 2018 at ~950-1,000 rigs.
- If, however, we see a more expeditious rise in oil prices, it is likely that rig activity will accelerate more quickly.
- A key question remains the impact of drilling efficiencies and how it relates to future rig count gains. Mitigating this concern is the ample number of low-priced, idle drilling rigs.
Specific to oilfield service, Daniel stated that E&P CapEx spend is estimated to increase over the next two years and that oil service pricing must inflate due to sizable increases within the pressure pumping and frac sands markets as well as unsustainably low margins within all oil service product specification levels.
Attendees from more than 40 companies met senior leaders in the oilfield service, supply, and manufacturing sector and learned how PESA membership can benefit their company. If you know of a company in the oilfield that would benefit from PESA membership, please reach out to Peggy Helfert at [email protected].